Azcardinaks Football Betting News

<< Report: Richards to become next Wild head coach
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Todd Richards, an assistant coach with the San Jose Sharks, has apparently been chosen to become the second head coach in Minnesota Wild franchise history. The Star-Tribune reported on Monday that Richar

<< Texas A&M's Elonu staying in NBA Draft; Sloan, Davis to return
College Station, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Texas A&M center Chinemelu Elonu will remain in the NBA Draft, while his Aggie teammates, Donald Sloan and Bryan Davis, have withdrawn their names from the draft process and will return for the

<< Gonzaga's Daye decides to stay in NBA Draft
Spokane, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Gonzaga forward Austin Daye announced Monday he will remain in the NBA Draft and forego his final two years of eligibility with the Bulldogs. Daye averaged 12.7 points, 5.8 rebounds and 2.1 blocks p

<< Falcons sign OL Newberry
Flowery Branch, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Falcons signed free agent offensive lineman Jeremy Newberry on Monday. Terms of the deal were not released. The 6-foot-5, 315-pounder appeared in all 16 games for San Diego last s

Ottawa announces front office restructuring; Mlakar to step down >>
Ottawa, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ottawa Senators owner and chairman Eugene Melnyk announced Monday the creation of an "executive leadership team" that will be responsible for running the club's operations in addition to assets of Senator

Judge rejects sale of Coyotes >>
Phoenix, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Coyotes will remain in Phoenix after bankruptcy court Judge Redfield T. Baum rejected a proposed sale of the team to billionaire Jim Balsillie, who was set to move the team to Hamilton, Ontario

Favre says he's considering playing again >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Making his first public appearance since retiring from the New York Jets, Brett Favre said Monday night he's considering playing again, this time for the Minnesota Vikings. Favre spoke on the

Angels RHP Escobar back to DL; rotation shuffled >>
San Francisco, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kelvim Escobar, who missed the entire 2008 season due to a torn labrum before coming back to start June 6 at Detroit, is going back on the disabled list. Angels manager Mike Scioscia said o

Betting Football

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.